By market
Strikeouts is the flagship market; hits-allowed and outs are in beta. Each row aggregates every locked + graded pick in the window. A handful of additional model variants are being tracked privately before they're listed here — they only graduate to the public page once their sample size is large enough to publish honestly.
| Market | Picks | Hits | Misses | Hit rate | Net units | ROI (risk-adj) | Avg CLV |
|---|
How it works
Three things worth knowing before reading any track record.
What "locked" means
Picks auto-lock at 10 AM ET each day. That freezes the line, odds, projection, and edge at lock-time, so subsequent line moves don't retroactively change the recorded pick.
What "scored" means
Once the game is final, the result is pulled from the MLB Stats API box score. K picks compare actual strikeouts to the locked line; HA picks compare actual hits allowed. Pushes don't move the ledger.
What CLV measures
Closing Line Value: did the market move against your pick after lock-in? Positive CLV means you got better value than the closing price — the strongest signal of long-term edge, independent of variance.
What's NOT shown
Today's picks (still pending), the model internals, and individual rows. The site is free right now — what's public is the aggregate performance only, so the track record is verifiable without being directly scrape-able.