Live projections and edges across MLB pitcher props, hitter matchups, full-game totals, NFL spreads and totals, and NCAA baseball. Ten model variants, six labs, three sports — all refreshed daily against DraftKings.

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No card required · 21+

What we cover

Three sports, six labs, one modeling stack. Every market runs through the same edge-vs-DK pipeline.

MLB — the deepest tooling

  • Pitcher props: K, HA, Outs, HR probability
  • Hitter matchups vs the day's opposing pitcher
  • Full-game totals, ML, RL with model + market edges
  • Research: Savant tables, per-pitch data, plate discipline, umpire tendencies
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NFL — full-game + player props

  • Personnel-EPA model with adaptive pass/rush mix
  • Live totals, spreads, moneylines against DK closing lines
  • Tackles + Reception labs with position-adjusted projections
  • Weekly backtest performance in the Trends Center
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NCAA baseball — insider leans

  • Curated pick sheets + insight from a former college player
  • Full model projections coming for the 2027 season

More than just picks

The tools that make the projections useful — understand why the model likes a play, test lineup changes, and see the receipts.

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Research Lab

Every pitcher's Savant profile, per-pitch K/HA/HR rates, batter plate discipline, umpire tendencies. See why the model likes a pick.

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Build Your Own Matchup

Swap a pitcher into a different lineup, tweak the pitch count, re-run the projection. Test lineup changes before they land.

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Tracked Performance

Every pick locked pre-game with a timestamped snapshot. Graded automatically. Hit rate, ROI, and CLV bucketed by market, day, and edge.

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Fantasy Score

DFS lineup builder using the same projections. Salary-cap solver.

How the model works

Same pipeline across every sport. Public data in, tracked picks out — no black box.

1

Daily data pull

Baseball Savant + nflverse + MLB Stats API + DK odds, refreshed every 10–15 minutes.

2

10+ model variants per market

Deterministic, Monte Carlo, log5, additive. We ship them all so you can compare.

3

Edges calculated live

Every projection vs DK's current line, with your book's boost applied.

4

Picks locked at 10 AM ET

Snapshot to CSV. Graded when the game ends. No revising after the fact.

Affiliate Partner

Sleeper Fantasy: 100% first-deposit match up to $100. Use code BSBL. New users only, $10 minimum, 21+, restrictions apply.

New users only · $10 minimum deposit · 21+ (state restrictions apply) · See sleeper.com/match for full terms.

Every edge, every night.

See what the model likes tonight. Free account, no card required.

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